A reference list of our key academic paper publications 2024 Prevalence and risk factors for long COVID among adults in Scotland using electronic health records: a national, retrospective, observational cohort study Jeffrey, K; Woolford, L; Maini, R; Daines, L; et. al. eClinicalMedicine, Volume 71 Published online on: 12 April 2024 Available online at: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eclinm.2024.102590 Risk of severe COVID-19 outcomes after autumn 2022 COVID-19 booster vaccinations: a pooled analysis of national prospective cohort studies involving 7.4 million adults in England, Northern Ireland, Scotland and Wales Stuart Bedston; Almaghrabi, F; Patterson, L; Agrawal, U; et. al. The Lancet - Regional Health Europe Published online on: 12 December 2023 (officially published February 2024) Available online at: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.lanepe.2023.10081 Risk of winter hospitalisation and death from acute respiratory infections in Scotland: national retrospective cohort study Shi, Ting; Millington, T; Robertson, C; Jeffrey, K; et.al Journal of the Royal Society of Medicine Published online on: 12 February 2024 Available online at: https://doi.org/10.1177/01410768231223584 Risk of COVID-19 death in adults who received booster COVID-19 vaccinations in England Ward, I; Robertson, C; Agrawal, A; Patterson, L; et.al. Nature Communications Published online on: 16 January 2024 Available online at: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-023-44276-x Under-vaccination and severe COVID-19 outcomes: meta-analysis of national cohort studies in England, Northern Ireland, Scotland and Wales Kerr, S; Bedston, S; Cezard, G; Sampi, A; et.al The Lancet Published online on: 15 January 2024 Available online at: https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(23)02467-4/fulltext 2023 Quality of ethnicity data within Scottish health records and implications of misclassification for ethnic inequalities in severe COVID-19: a national linked data study Amele, S; McCabe, R; Kibuchi, E; Pearce, A; et. al. Journal of Public Health Published online on 19 October 2023 Available online at: https://doi.org/10.1093/pubmed/fdad196 Developing the EAVE III platform for future health crises Simpson, C.R; Robertson, C; McMenamin, J; Ritchie L.D; Sheikh, A The Lancet Infectious Diseases Published on: 12 October 2023 Available online at: https://doi.org/10.1016/S1473-3099(23)00626-6 Understanding and reporting odds ratios as rate-ratio estimates in case-control studies Kerr, S; Greenland, S; Jeffrey, K; Millington, T; et.al. The Journal of Global Health Published online on: 15 September 2023 Available online at: http://dx.doi.org/10.7189/jogh.13.04101 Predictors of incomplete COVID-19 vaccine schedule among adults in Scotland: Two retrospective cohort analyses of the primary schedule and third dose Morrison, K; Cullen, L; James, A.B; Chua, V; et.al. Vaccine Published on: 17 August 2023 Available online at: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.vaccine.2023.07.070 Ethnic inequalities in positive SARS-CoV-2 tests, infection prognosis, COVID-19 hospitalisations and deaths: analysis of 2 years of a record linked national cohort study in Scotland Amele, S; Kibuchi, E; McCabe, R; Katikireddi, S.V; et. al Journal of Epidemiology & Community Health Published on: 31 July 2023 Available online at: http://dx.doi.org/10.1136/jech-2023-220501 Severity of Omicron BA.5 variant and protective effect of vaccination: national cohort and matched analyses in Scotland Robertson, C; Sheikh, A & Kerr, S The Lancet Regional Health - Europe Published on: 14 April 2023 Available online at: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.lanepe.2023.100638 (Pre-print) Association between antibody responses post-vaccination and severe COVID-19 outcomes: national population-based cohort study in Scotland Macdonald, C; Palmateer, N; McAuley, A; Lindsay, L; et. al. Submitted to npj Vaccines Published online on 22 May 2023 Available online at: https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-2789162/v1 Accelerated waning of the humoral response to SARS-CoV-2 vaccines in obesity van der Klaauw, A.A; Horner, E.C; Pereyra-Gerber, P; Agrawal, U; et. al. Nature Medicine Published online on: 11 May 2023 Available online at: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41591-023-02343-2 (pre-print) Identifying Long Covid Using Electronic Health Records: A National Observational Cohort Study in Scotland Jeffrey, K; Woolford, L; Maini, R; Daines, L; et. al. The Lancet (pre-print) Published online on: 8 March 2023 Available online at: https://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4376992 Real-World Severe COVID-19 Outcomes Associated with Use of Antivirals and Neutralising Monoclonal Antibodies: A Population-Based Retrospective Cohort Study in Scotland Tibble, H; Mueller, T; Proud, E; Hall, E; et. al. preprints with The Lancet Published online on: 2 March 2023 Available online at: https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4356763 Effectiveness of mRNA boosters after homologous primary series with BNT162b2 or ChAdOx1 against symptomatic infection and severe COVID-19 in Brazil and Scotland: A test-negative design case–control study Cerqueira-Silva, T; Shah, S.A; Robertson, C; Sanchez, M; et. al. PLOS MEDICINE Published on: 11 January 2023 Available online at: https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pmed.1004156 A population-based matched cohort study of major congenital anomalies following COVID-19 vaccination and SARS-CoV-2 infection Calvert, C; Carruthers, J; Denny, C; Donaghy, J; et. al. Nature Communications Published Online on: 6 January 2022 Available online at: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-022-35771-8 Confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection in Scottish neonates 2020-2022: a national, population-based cohort study Goulding, A; McQuaid, F; Lindsay, L; Agrawal, U; et. al. Archives of Disease in Childhood: Fetal & Neonatal Edition Published Online on: 6 January 2023 Available online at: https://doi.org/10.1136/archdischild-2022-324713 2022 Uptake of monoclonal antibodies and anti-viral therapies for COVID-19 in Scotland Tibble, H; Mueller, T; Proud, E; Hall, E; et. al. The Lancet (Letters) Published online on: 22 December 2022 Available online at: https://doi.org/10.1016/s0140-6736(22)02398-4 Assessing medication use patterns in patients hospitalised with COVID-19: a retrospective study Mueller, T; Kurdi, A; Hall, E; Bullard, I; et. al. BMJ Open Access Published online on: 8 December 2022 Available online at: http://dx.doi.org/10.1136/bmjopen-2022-064320 Severity of BA.2 variant and vaccine effectiveness against symptomatic disease in Scotland Kerr, S; Robertson, C; Hillman, S; Grange, Z; et al. The Lancet Regional Health - Europe Published on: 4 November 2022 Available online at: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.lanepe.2022.100533 Waning of first and second dose ChAdOx1 and BNT162b2 COVID-19 vaccinations: A pooled target trial study of 12.9 million individuals in England, Northern Ireland, Scotland and Wales Kerr, S; Bedston, S; Bradley, D.T.; Joy, M; et.al International Journal of Epidemiology Published on: 22 October 22 Available online at: https://doi.org/10.1093/ije/dyac199 A population-based matched cohort study of early pregnancy outcomes following COVID-19 vaccination and SARS-CoV-2 infection Calvert, C; Carruthers, J; Denny, C; Donaghy, J; et. al. Nature Communications Published online on: 17 October 2022 Available online at: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-022-33937-y Severe COVID-19 outcomes after full vaccination of primary schedule and initial boosters: pooled analysis of national prospective cohort studies of 30 million individuals in England, Northern Ireland, Scotland, and Wales Agrawal, U; Bedston, S; McCowan, C; Oke, J; et. al The Lancet Published online on: 14 October 2022 Available online at: https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(22)01656-7 Pregnancy outcomes following Delta and Omicron SARS-CoV-2 infection in Scotland: a population-based cohort study Stock, SJ; Moore, E.K; Calvert, C; Carruthers, J; et. al The Lancet Respiratory Medicine Published online one: 7 October 2022 Available online at: https://doi.org/10.1016/S2213-2600(22)00360-5 BNT162b2 COVID-19 vaccination uptake, safety, effectiveness and waning in children and young people aged 12–17 years in Scotland Rudan, I; Milligan, T; Antal, K; Grange, Z; et. al. The Lancet Regional Health Europe Published online: 28 September 2022 Available at: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.lanepe.2022.100513 Risk of COVID-19 hospitalizations among school-aged children in Scotland: A national incident cohort study Shi, T; Pan, J; Moore, E; Katikireddi, SV; etl. al. The Journal of Global Health Published Online on: 23 September 2022 Available online at: https://doi.org/10.7189/jogh.12.05044 Characterising adults in Scotland who are not vaccinated against COVID-19 Shahul, S; Hall, Elliott; Grange, Z; Sullivan, C; et. al The Lancet Letters Published online on: 22 September 2022 Available at: https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(22)01653-1 Second-dose ChAdOx1 and BNT162b2 COVID-19 vaccines and thrombocytopenic, thromboembolic and hemorrhagic events in Scotland Simpson, C.R; Kerr, S.; Katikireddi, S.V; McGowan, C.; et.al Published in Nature Communications Published online on: 15 August 2022 Available online at: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-022-32264-6 Vaccine Effectiveness of Two-Dose BNT162b2 Over Time Against COVID-19 Symptomatic Infection and Severe Cases Among Adolescents: Test Negative Design Case Control Studies in Brazil and Scotland Florentino, P.T.V; Millington, T; Cerqueira-Silva, T; Robertson, C; et. al. The Lancet Infectious Diseases Published online: 8 August 2022 Available at: https://doi.org/10.1016/S1473-3099(22)00451-0 COVID-19 vaccine effectiveness against symptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infection and severe COVID-19 outcomes from Delta AY.4.2: Cohort and test-negative study of 5.4 million individuals in Scotland Kerr, S; Vasileiou, E; Robertson, C & Sheikh, A The Journal of Global Health Published on: 9 July 2022 Available online at: http://dx.doi.org/10.7189/jogh.12.05025 (Pre-print) Accelerated waning of the humoral response to SARS-CoV-2 vaccines in obesity van der Klaauw, A. A; Horner, E.C; Pereyra-Gerber, P; Agrawal, U; et. al. Published in medRxiv Published online: 14 June 2022 Available at: https://doi.org/10.1101/2022.06.09.22276196 Common protocol for validation of the QCOVID algorithm across the four UK nations Kerr, S.; Robertson, C.; Nafilyan, V.; Sheikh, A.; et.al Published in BMJ Open Published online on: 14 June 2022 Available at: https://doi.org/10.1136/bmjopen-2021-050994 Impact of first UK COVID-19 lockdown on hospital admissions: Interrupted time series study of 32 million people Shah, S. A,; Brophy, S.; Kennedy, J.; Fisher, L.; et. al. eClinicalMedicine (The Lancet Discovery Science) Published Online 20 May 2022 Available at: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eclinm.2022.101462 Impact on emergency and elective hospital-based care in Scotland over the first 12 months of the pandemic: interrupted time-series analysis of national lockdowns Shah, S.A.; Mulholland, R.H.; Wilkinson, S.; Sheikh, A.; et.al. Journal of the Royal Society of Medicine Published 03 May 2022 Available via: https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/01410768221095239 Severity of omicron variant of concern and effectiveness of vaccine boosters against symptomatic disease in Scotland (EAVE II): a national cohort study with nested test negative design Sheikh, A.; Kerr, S.; Woolhouse, M.; McMenamin, J.; et. al. The Lancet Infectious Diseases Published Online 22 April 2022 Available at: https://doi.org/10.1016/S1473-3099(22)00141-4 (pre-print) Waning of mRNA Boosters after Homologous Primary Series with BNT162b2 or ChadOx1 Against Symptomatic Infection and Severe COVID-19 in Brazil and Scotland: A Test-Negative Design Case-Control Study Cerqueira-Silva, T.; Shah, S.A.; Robertson, C.; Sanchez, M. N.; et. al. Pre-prints with the Lancet Published online on: 14 April 2022 Available at: https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4082927 (pre-print) Vaccine Effectiveness of Two-Dose BNT162b2 Over Time Against COVID-19 Symptomatic Infection and Severe Cases Among Adolescents: Test Negative Design Case Control Studies in Brazil and Scotland Pre-print Lorentino, P.T.V; Millington, T; Cerqueira-Silva, T; Robertson, C; et. al. The Lancet Published on: 5 April 2022 Available via: http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4074678 BNT162b2 and ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 Vaccinations, Incidence of SARS-CoV-2 Infections and COVID-19 Hospitalisations in Scotland in the Delta era Shah SA, Robertson C, Rudan I, et. al. The Journal of Global Health Published Online March 26, 2022 Available via The Journal of Global Health (online): https://doi.org/10.7189/jogh.12.05008 Uptake of infant and preschool immunisations in Scotland and England during the COVID-19 pandemic: An observational study of routinely collected data McQuaid F, Mulholland R, Rai YS, Agrawal U, et al. PLOS Medicine Published Online February 22, 2022 Available via PLOS Medicine (online): https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pmed.1003916 First dose ChAdOx1 and BNT162b2 COVID-19 vaccinations and cerebral venous sinus thrombosis: A pooled self-controlled case series study of 11.6 million individuals in England, Scotland, and Wales Kerr S, Joy M, Torabi F, Bedston S, Akbari A, Agrawal U, et al. PLOS Medicine Published Online February 22, 2022 Available via PLOS Medicine (online): https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pmed.1003927 Vaccine effectiveness of heterologous CoronaVac plus BNT162b2 in Brazil Cerqueira-Silva, T; Srinivasa, V.K; de Araujo Oliveria, V; Flores-Ortiz, R; et.al. Nature Medicine Published online on: 9 February 2022 Available online at: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41591-022-01701-w Risk of serious COVID-19 outcomes among adults with asthma in Scotland: a national incident cohort study Shi T, Pan J, Vasileiou E, et al. The Lancet Respiratory Medicine Published Online January 13, 2022 Available via The Lancet Respiratory Medicine: https://doi.org/10.1016/S2213-2600(21)00543-9 SARS-CoV-2 infection and COVID-19 vaccination rates in pregnant women in Scotland Stock SJ, Carruthers J, Calvert C, et al. Nature Medicine (2022) Published Online January 13, 2022 Available via Nature Medicine: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41591-021-01666-2 Cohort Profile: The COVID-19 in Pregnancy in Scotland (COPS) dynamic cohort of pregnant women to assess effects of viral and vaccine exposures on pregnancy Stock SJ, Carruthers J, Denny C, et al. International Journal of Epidemiology Published online January 03, 2022 Available via International Journal of Epidemiology: https://doi.org/10.1093/ije/dyab243 2021 (Pre-print) Two-dose ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 vaccine protection against COVID-19 hospital admissions and deaths over time: a retrospective, population-based cohort study in Scotland and Brazil Katikireddi, V., et al. The Lancet Published Online December 20, 2021 Available via The Lancet: https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(21)02754-9 Risk of COVID-19 hospital admission among children aged 5–17 years with asthma in Scotland: a national incident cohort study Shi, T., Pan J., Katikireddi, V., et al. The Lancet Respiratory Medicine Published Online November 30, 2021 Available via The Lancet: https://doi.org/10.1016/S2213-2600(21)00491-4 External validation of the QCovid risk prediction algorithm for risk of COVID-19 hospitalisation and mortality in adults: national validation cohort study in Scotland Simpson CR, Robertson C, Kerr S, et al. Thorax Published Online November 15, 2021 Available via Thorax: https://doi.org/10.1136/thoraxjnl-2021-217580 Characteristics and risk of COVID-19-related death in fully vaccinated people in Scotland Grange, Z., Buelo, A., Sullivan, C., et al. The Lancet Published Online October 28, 2021 Available via The Lancet: https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(21)02316-3 Neurological complications after first dose of COVID-19 vaccination and SARS-CoV-2 infection Patone, M., Handunnetthi, L., Saatci, D et al. Nature Medicine Published Online October 25, 2021 Available via Nature Medicine: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41591-021-01556-7 Association between multimorbidity and mortality in a cohort of patients admitted to hospital with COVID-19 in Scotland Agarwal, U., Azcoaga-Lorenzo, A., Fagbamigbe, AF et al. Journal of the Royal Society of Medicine Published Online October 21, 2021 Available via Sage Journals: https://doi.org/10.1177/01410768211051715 BNT162b2 and ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 Vaccine Effectiveness against Death from the Delta Variant Sheikh, A., Robertson, C., Taylor, B The NEW ENGLAND JOURNAL of MEDICINE Published Online October 20, 2021 Available via New England Journal of Medicine: http://doi.org/10.1056/NEJMc2113864 COVID-19 hospital admissions and deaths post BNT162b2 and ChAdOx1 vaccinations: National prospective cohort study of 2.57 million people in Scotland Agrawal, U., Katikireddi, S. V., McCowan, C., Mulholland, R. H., et al. The Lancet Respiratory Medicine Published Online September 29, 2021 Available via The Lancet Respiratory Medicine: https://doi.org/10.1016/S2213-2600(21)00380-5 Ethnic and social inequalities in COVID-19 outcomes in Scotland: protocol for early pandemic evaluation and enhanced surveillance of COVID-19 (EAVE II) Henery, P., Vasileiou, E., Hainey, K.J., et al. BMJ Open 2021;11:e048852 Published Online August 10, 2021 Available via BMJ Open: https://doi.org/0.1136/bmjopen-2021-048852 Predicted COVID-19 positive cases, hospitalisations, and deaths associated with the Delta variant of concern, June–July, 2021 Shah, S. A., Moore, E., Robertson, C., McMenamin, J., et al. The Lancet Digital Health, Volume 3, Issue 9, e539 - e541 Published Online August 9, 2021 Available via The Lancet: https://doi.org/10.1016/S2589-7500(21)00175-8 Temporal trends and forecasting of COVID-19 hospitalisations and deaths in Scotland using a national real-time patient-level data platform: a statistical modelling study Simpson, C. R., Robertson, C., Vasileiou, E., Moore, E., McCowan, C., Agrawal, U., et al. The Lancet Digital Health, Volume 3, Issue 8, e517 - e525 Published Online July 5, 2021 Available via The Lancet Digital Health: https://doi.org/10.1016/S2589-7500(21)00105-9 SARS-CoV-2 Delta VOC in Scotland: demographics, risk of hospital admission, and vaccine effectiveness Sheikh, A., McMenamin, J., Taylor, B., Robertson, C. The Lancet, Volume 397, Issue 10293, P2461-2462 Published Online June 14, 2021 Available via The Lancet: https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(21)01358-1 First-dose ChAdOx1 and BNT162b2 COVID-19 vaccines and thrombocytopenic, thromboembolic and hemorrhagic events in Scotland. Simpson, C.R., Shi, T., Vasileiou, E. et al. Nat Med 27, 1290–1297 (2021) Published Online June 9, 2021 Available via Nature Medicine: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41591-021-01408-4 Cohort profile: Early pandemic evaluation and enhanced surveillance of COVID-19 (EAVE II) database Mulholland, R. H., Vasileiou, E., et al. International Journal of Epidemiology, Volume 50, Issue 4, August 2021, Pages 1064–1074 Published Online June 5, 2021 Available via International Journal of Epidemiology: https://doi.org/10.1093/ije/dyab028 Impact of COVID-19 Lockdown on the Incidence and Mortality of Acute Exacerbations of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease: National Interrupted Time Series Analyses for Scotland and Wales Alsallakh, M.A., Sivakumaran, S., Kennedy, S. et al. BMC Med 19, 124 (2021) Publised Online May 17, 2021 Available via BMC Medicine: https://doi.org/10.1186/s12916-021-02000-w Interim findings from first-dose mass COVID-19 vaccination roll-out and COVID-19 hospital admissions in Scotland: a national prospective cohort study Vasileiou E, Simpson CR, Robertson C, Shi T, Kerr S, et al. The Lancet, Volume 397, Issue 10285, 1646 - 1657 Published Online April 23, 2021 Available via The Lancet: https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(21)00677-2 Statistical Analysis Plans (SAPs) available: Protocol and analysis | The University of Edinburgh Impact of COVID-19 lockdown on emergency asthma admissions and deaths: national interrupted time series analyses for Scotland and Wales Davies GA, Alsallakh MA, Sivakumaran S, et al. Thorax 2021;76:867-873 Published Online March 29, 2021 Available via Thorax: https://doi.org/10.1136/thoraxjnl-2020-216380 (Preprint) Effectiveness of First Dose of COVID-19 Vaccines Against Hospital Admissions in Scotland: National Prospective Cohort Study of 5.4 million People Vasileriou E, Simpson CR, Robertson C, Shi T, Kerr S, et al. Preprint with The Lancet Published Online Feb 19, 2021 Available at SSRN: http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3789264 Code used in this analysis is available via the EAVE II GitHub site 2020 COVID-19 in Pregnancy in Scotland (COPS): protocol for an observational study using linked Scottish national data Stock SJ, McAllister D, Vasileiou E, et al BMJ Open 2020;10:e042813 Published Online November 26, 2020 Available via BMJ Open: https://doi.org/10.1136/bmjopen-2020-042813 Living risk prediction algorithm (QCOVID) for risk of hospital admission and mortality from coronavirus 19 in adults: national derivation and validation cohort study Clift Ash K, Coupland Carol A C, Keogh Ruth H, Diaz-Ordaz Karla, Williamson Elizabeth, Harrison Ewen M et al. BMJ 2020; 371 :m3731 Published Online October 20, 2020 Available via BMJ: https://doi.org/10.1136/bmj.m3731 Impact of COVID-19 on accident and emergency attendances and emergency and planned hospital admissions in Scotland: an interrupted time-series analysis. Mulholland RH, Wood R, Stagg HR, et al. Journal of the Royal Society of Medicine. 2020;113(11):444-453. Published Online October 4, 2020 Available via Journal of the Royal Society of Medicine: https://doi.org/10.1177/0141076820962447 Read the associated press release (Oct 2020): New study highlights disruptive impact of pandemic on non-COVID NHS care in Scotland Early Pandemic Evaluation and Enhanced Surveillance of COVID-19 (EAVE II): Protocol for an Observational Study using Linked Scottish National Data Simpson CR, Robertson C, Vasileiou E, et al BMJ Open 2020;10:e039097 Published Online June 21, 2020 Available via BMJ Open: https://doi.org/10.1136/bmjopen-2020-039097 This article was published on 2024-09-24