Research and other outputs

You can find our published academic papers and reports on this page. Our work has been funded by UKHSA, Scottish COVID Inquiry, WHO, Scottish Government COVID-19 Learning and Evaluation Oversight Group, University of Edinburgh Principal's Teaching Awards Scheme, Data Driven Innovation, Institutional Strategic Support Fund.

Agyei-Manu E, Atkins N, Nundy M, St-Jean C, Gornall-Wick A, Birley E, De Silva U, Krishan P, Vokey L, Dozier MF, McSwiggan E, McQuillan R, Theodoratou E, Shi T; UNCOVER Applied Evidence Synthesis group. Characteristics of influenza, SARS-CoV-2, and RSV surveillance systems that utilise ICD-coded data: a systematic review. J Glob Health. 2025 May 23;15:04177. DOI: 10.7189/jogh.15.04177. 

Ashcroft T, McSwiggan E, Agyei-Manu E, Nundy M, Atkins N, Kirkwood JR, Ben Salem Machiri M, Vardhan V, Lee B, Kubat E, Ravishankar S, Krishan P, De Silva U, Iyahen EO, Rostron J, Zawiejska A, Ogarrio K, Harikar M, Chishty S, Mureyi D, Evans B, Duval D, Carville S, Brini S, Hill J, Qureshi M, Simmons Z, Lyell I, Kavoi T, Dozier M, Curry G, Ordóñez-Mena JM, de Lusignan S, Sheikh A, Theodoratou E, McQuillan R. Effectiveness of non-pharmaceutical interventions as implemented in the UK during the COVID-19 pandemic: a rapid review. J Public Health (Oxf). 2025 May 29;47(2):268-302. DOI: 10.1093/pubmed/fdaf017. 

Agyei‐Manu E, Atkins N, Lee B, Rostron J, Dozier M, Smith M, et al. The benefits, challenges, and best practice for patient and public involvement in evidence synthesis: A systematic review and thematic synthesis. Health Expectations. 2023. DOI: 10.1111/hex.13787

Atkins N, Harikar M, Duggan K, Zawiejska A, Vardhan V, Vokey L, et al. What are the characteristics of participatory surveillance systems for influenza-like-illness?  Journal of Global Health. 2023. DOI: 10.7189/jogh.13.04130

Lee B, Krishan P, Goodwin L, Iduye D, Farfan de los Godos E, Fryer J, et al. Impact of COVID-19 mitigations on anxiety and depression amongst university students: A systematic review and meta-analysis. Journal of Global Health. 2023. DOI: 10.7189/jogh.13.06035

Kulkarni D, Nundy M, McSwiggan E, Adams E, Dozier M, Hartnup K, et al. To what extent is alcohol consumption in social gatherings associated with observance of COVID-19 restrictions? A rapid review. Journal of Global Health. 2022. DOI: 10.7189/jogh.12.13001

Lee B, Ashcroft T, Agyei-Manu E, Farfan de los Godos E, Leow A, Krishan P, et al. Clinical features of COVID-19 for integration of COVID-19 into influenza surveillance: A systematic review. Journal of Global Health. 2022. DOI: 10.7189/jogh.12.05012

Lee B, Lewis G, Agyei-Manu E, Atkins N, Bhattacharyya U, Dozier M, et al. Risk of serious COVID-19 outcomes among adults and children with moderate-to-severe asthma: a systematic review and meta-analysis. European Respiratory Review. 2022. DOI: 10.1183/16000617.0066-2022 

Li Y, Ashcroft T, Chung A, Dighero M, Horne M, McSwiggan E, et al. Risk factors for poor outcomes in hospitalised COVID-19 patients: A systematic review and meta-analysis. Journal of Global Health. 2021. DOI:10.7189/jogh.11.10001

Dong Y, Shamsuddin A, Campbell H, Theodoratou E, UNCOVER. Current COVID-19 treatments: Rapid review of the literature. Journal of Global Health. 2021. DOI: 10.7189/jogh.11.10003

Goodwin L, Hayward T, Krishan P, Nolan G, Nundy M, Ostrishko K, et al. Which factors influence the extent of indoor transmission of SARSCoV-2? A rapid evidence review. Journal of Global Health. 2021. DOI:10.7189/jogh.11.10002

Li Y, Campbell H, Kulkarni D, Harpur A, Nundy M, Wang X, et al. The temporal association of introducing and lifting non-pharmaceutical interventions with the time-varying reproduction number (R) of SARS-CoV-2: a modelling study across 131 countries. Lancet Infectious Diseases. DOI: 10.1016/S1473-3099(20)30785-4

Li Y, Wang X, Campbell H, Nair H. The association of community mobility with the time-varying reproduction number (R) of SARS-CoV-2: a modelling study across 330 local UK authorities. Lancet Digital Health. 2021. DOI: 10.1016/S2589-7500(21)00144-8

Talic S, Shah S, Wild H, Gasevic D, Maharaj A, Ademi Z, et al. Effectiveness of public health measures in reducing the incidence of covid-19, SARS-CoV-2 transmission, and covid-19 mortality: systematic review and meta-analysis. BMJ. 2021. DOI: 10.1136/bmj-2021-068302

Zhang X, Xu W, Dozier M, Nzvere FP, Krishan P, He Y, et al. Advances in COVID-19 research until November 2020: Update from the UNCOVER registry. Journal of Global Health. 2021. DOI: 10.7189/jogh.11.03022

Lee R, Xu W, Dozier M, McQuillan R, Theodoratou E, Figueroa J. A rapid review of COVID-19’s global impact on breast cancer screening participation rates and volumes from. eLife. DOI: 10. 7554/ eLife. 85680

Li X, Xu W, Dozier M, He Y, Kirolos A, Theodoratou E. The role of children in transmission of SARS-CoV-2: A rapid review. Journal of Global Health. 2020. DOI: 10.7189/jogh.10.011101 

Li X, Xu W, Dozier M, He Y, Kirolos A, Lang Z, et al. The role of children in the transmission of SARS-CoV2: updated rapid review. Journal of Global Health. 2020. DOI: 10.7189/jogh.10.021101

Wang X, Kulkarni D, Dozier D, Hartnup K, Paget J, Campbell H, et al. Influenza vaccination strategies for 2020-21 in the context of COVID-19. Journal of Global Health. 2020. DOI: 10.7189/jogh.10.021102

Xu W, Li X, Dong Y, Dozier M, He Y, Kirolos A, et al. SARS-CoV-2 transmission in schools: An updated living systematic review (version 2; November 2020). Journal of Global Health. 2020. DOI: 10.7189/jogh.11.10004

Xu W, Li X, Dozier M, He Y, Kirolos A, Lang Z, et al. What is the evidence for transmission of COVID-19 by children in schools? A living systematic review. Journal of Global health 2020. DOI: 10.7189/jogh.10.021104

Xu W, Zhang X, He Y, Dozier M, Owers B, Li X, et al. UNCOVER registry: A searchable online catalogue for COVID-19 evidence reviews. Journal of Global Health. 2020. DOI: 10.7189/jogh.10.020101


Reports for Scottish COVID Inquiry

Adams E, Ashcroft T, Atkins N, Krishan P, Nundy M, St Jean C, et al. Scottish COVID-19 Inquiry. Academic Research. Portfolio 1: Public Sector Response. Update covering the period 1 January 2022 to 31 December 2022. Background research for Scottish COVID-19 Inquiry. 2023.

McQuillan R, Theodoratou E, McSwiggan E, Adams E, Atkins N, Fryer J, et al. Scottish COVID-19 Inquiry. Academic Research. Portfolio 1: Public Sector Response.  Shielding and associated assistance programmes. Background research for Scottish COVID-19 Inquiry. 2022.

McQuillan R, Theodoratou E, McSwiggan E, Adams E, Atkins N, Fryer J, et al. Scottish COVID-19 Inquiry. Academic Research. Portfolio 1: Public Sector Response.  The design and delivery of the vaccination strategy. Background research for Scottish COVID-19 Inquiry. 2022.

McQuillan R, Theodoratou E, McSwiggan E, Adams E, Atkins N, Fryer J, et al. Scottish COVID-19 Inquiry. Academic Research. Portfolio 1: Public Sector Response. Investigation of the strategic elements of the handling of the pandemic relating to the supply, distribution, and use of Personal Protective Equipment. Background research for Scottish COVID-19 Inquiry. 2022.

McQuillan R, Theodoratou E, McSwiggan E, Adams E, Atkins N, Fryer J, et al. Scottish COVID-19 Inquiry. Academic Research. Portfolio 1: Public Sector Response. Pandemic Preparedness and Exercises. Background research for Scottish COVID-19 Inquiry. 2022.

McQuillan R, Theodoratou E, McSwiggan E, Adams E, Atkins N, Fryer J, et al. Scottish COVID-19 Inquiry. Academic Research. Portfolio 1: Public Sector Response. The delivery of a system of testing, outbreak management and self-isolation. Background research for Scottish COVID-19 Inquiry. 2022.

McQuillan R, Theodoratou E, McSwiggan E, Adams E, Atkins N, Fryer J, et al. Scottish COVID-19 Inquiry. Academic Research. Portfolio 1: Public Sector Response. Whether, when and how to impose lockdown and other restrictions in response to the COVID-19 pandemic. Background research for Scottish COVID-19 Inquiry. 2022.

 


Reports for Scottish Government

Adams E, Iduye D, McSwiggan E, Mureyi D, Nundy M, Atkins N, et al. An Evaluation of International Pandemic Recovery Strategies and Identification of Good Practice Relevant to Scotland. Comparative review. 2023.

 

Reports for Joint Committee on Vaccinations and Immunisations

Lee B, Agyei-Manu E, Atkins N, Bhattacharyya U, Dozier M, Lewis G, et al. Risk of serious COVID-19 outcomes among adults and children with severe asthma: A systematic review and meta-analysis. Systematic review and meta-analysis. 2021 13 August.

 

Reports for World Health Organisation

Ashcroft T, Nundy M, Lee B, Kulkarni D, Shi T, McQuillan R, et al. Integration of COVID-19 surveillance into influenza surveillance. Best practices’ compendium. Best practice compendium. 2021 8 October.

Kulkarni D, Ashcroft T, Lee B, Nundy M, Hartnup K, Bhattacharyya U, et al. A rapid review update - case definitions for surveillance integrated for influenza and COVID-19. Update 1 - 5 October 2021. Review update. 2021 5 October.

Kulkarni D, Ashcroft T, Lee B, Nundy M, Hartnup K, Theodoratou E, et al. Weekly summary of publications on influenza and RSV, in the context of COVID-19.  Part 1: 16 August - 24 October 2021. Weekly summary of research publications. 2021.

Li Y, Ashcroft T, Gillette E, Kulkarni D, H. N. Case definitions for surveillance integrated for influenza and COVID-19. Rapid review and summary. 2020 19 October.

McSwiggan E, Agyei-Manu E, Dozier M, Fryer J, Hegarty H, Iduye D, et al. What are the odds of severe outcomes (including hospitalisation, ICU admission, mechanical ventilation and/or mortality) for people who are co-infected with more than one respiratory virus (namely SARS-CoV-2, influenza, RSV) compared to people with monoinfection? Rapid review. 2022.

McSwiggan E, Atkins N, Bhattacharyya U, Devine C, Dozier M, Lee B, et al. What are the parameters (attack rates, generation intervals, latent period, incubation period, duration of infectiousness, reproduction number) and modes of transmission of seasonal and pandemic influenza? Rapid review. 2023 30 July.

McSwiggan E, Dozier M, Gornall-Wick A, Hayward T, Krishan P, Kulkarni D, et al. What are the parameters (attack rates, generation intervals, latent period, incubation period, duration of infectiousness, reproduction number) and modes of transmission of RSV [respiratory syncytial virus]? Rapid review. 2023 10 March.

Nair H, Wang X, Kulkarni D, Dozier M, Hartnup K, Campbell H. Summary: National influenza immunization strategies in the COVID-19 era. Rapid review summary. 2020 29 July.

Nundy M, Lee B, Atkins N, de Silva U, Boakye D, Zhou Y, et al. Weekly summary of publications on influenza and RSV, in the context of COVID-19. Part 2: 12 February - 22 July 2022. Weekly summary of research publications. 2022.

Nundy M, Nolan G, Gornall-Wick A, Pistol J, Rust M, Theodoratou E, et al. Fortnightly summary of publications on influenza and RSV, in the context of COVID-19. Part 3: 24 November 2022 - 15 April 2023. Fortnightly summary of research publications. 2022 - 2023.

 

 

 

UNCOVER developed the COVID-19 register. This was an online registry of published or ongoing reviews on COVID-19. See academic papers below for further information.

Zhang X, Xu W, Dozier M, Nzvere FP, Krishan P, He Y, et al. Advances in COVID-19 research until November 2020: Update from the UNCOVER registry. Journal of Global Health. 2021. DOI: 10.7189/jogh.11.03022

Xu W, Zhang X, He Y, Dozier M, Owers B, Li X, et al. UNCOVER registry: A searchable online catalogue for COVID-19 evidence reviews. Journal of Global Health. 2020. DOI: 10.7189/jogh.10.020101